Jaime Sevilla - Projecting AI progress from compute trends

Host Jeremie Harris talks compute trends and AI forecasting with Jaime Sevilla, an independent researcher and AI forecaster and affiliate researcher at Cambridge University's Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. Intro music: ➞ Artist: Ron Gelinas ➞ Track Title: Daybreak Chill Blend (original mix) ➞ Link to Track: https://youtu.be/d8Y2sKIgFWc 0:00 Intro 2:00 Trends in compute 4:30 Transformative AI 13:00 Industrial applications 19:00 GPT-3 and scaling 25:00 The two papers 33:00 Biological anchors 39:00 Timing of projects 43:00 The trade-off 47:45 Wrap-up