The mathematics of AI uncertainty

Google DeepMind
282,079 views August 26, 2026

Long before the current wave of large language models, one academic researcher was trying to give machines a sense of their own limitations. Zoubin Ghahramani has spent the last 30 years pioneering a type of intelligence built on the mathematics of uncertainty. Today, as a professor at Cambridge and VP of research at Google DeepMind, Zoubin finds himself at the heart of an interesting debate: will improving machine uncertainty be one of the missing pieces to ever improving AI? Timecodes: 00:00 Introduction 01:06 The role of uncertainty 07:45 Correctness vs confidence 09:40 Historical perspectives 16:10 Bayesian thinking in AI 26:30 Uncertainty in the real world 36:42 Future research and AGI ___ Subscribe to our channel https://www.youtube.com/@googledeepmind Find us on X https://x.com/GoogleDeepMind Follow us on Instagram https://instagram.com/googledeepmind Add us on Linkedin https://www.linkedin.com/company/deepmind/

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